The underlying assumption is that Ukraine has little hope of ultimate triumph over a fully mobilized Russia. ![]() Although the Ukrainians almost immediately proved far more formidable than nearly anyone had anticipated, lulls in the war play to the expectation that Russia will soon start massing its supposed great reserves and recover the situation on the battlefield. Many analysts were hypnotized a year ago by what they saw as Russia’s overwhelming firepower, modern weapons, and effective planning and leadership. Yet the relative stability of the front line in recent weeks has fueled fresh suggestions that Russia may soon go on the offensive again. In the summer and fall of last year, Ukraine rapidly recaptured territory that Russia had seized in the war’s early days. ![]() The war in Ukraine began trending toward the defenders soon after Russia launched its full-scale invasion on February 24.
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